MP sales:

Sale #1: $12.99 / $1.91 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-15) = 6.80 ~ 7 keys

Item history not found

Sale #2: $13.99 / $1.91 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-31) = 7.32 ~ 7.5 keys

Item history not found

No recent sales found on Mannco.store

No B/O available (only outdated): https://gyazo.com/94d625e4a7e38405a71b7130547faefa / https://bot.tf/stats/listings?def=30024&q=5&ef=Aces%20High&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

Item tracing:-

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2346310359

bulk/transfer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198270949034#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1587513600/1588636800

bulk/transfer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1588550400/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

skipping transfer between Quicksell.store bots.

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3014437603

Sale #3

Sold to stn.tf for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1587859200/1588032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137489617#!/compare/1586217600/1587945600

Sale #4

then he dumped it back to stn.tf for 4 keys + 4 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137489617#!/compare/1587945600/1588118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000

Ignoring Sale #3 and Sale #4

Sale #6

Sold by stn.tf for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1590192000/1590278400 (ID: 8825848870)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834877080#!/compare/1589932800/1590278400 (ID: 8825848959)

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7432626112

Sale #7

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354083970#!/compare/1587427200/1587686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/7955610089

untraced (only show 16 ref)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325086565#!/compare/1588204800/1588464000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1588377600/1588464000

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/7956123334

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300591764#!/compare/1591142400/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1591228800/1593129600 (missing)

bulk and untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1593648000/1593993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352748818#!/compare/1591660800/1594080000

----------------------------------------

Current listings: https://gyazo.com/31318f2c0f3a860c62ed13505d17c6b7

Selling at 6.59, 6.6 keys

Buying at 5.45, 5.41 keys

1 seller at MP at $25.00 / ~$1.94 = 12.87 ~ 13 keys (outlier)

Only buying at stn.tf for 5 keys, 34 ref ~ 5.5 keys

No seller found on Mannco.store

Valid sales: 7, 7.5, 5 keys

Excluding 5 keys since it's less than current buying price

Taking 7 - 7.5 keys