https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/463;5;u3004

April 28 - $15.8 / $1.82 = 8.68 keys

May 16 - $19.6 / $1.89 = 10.37 keys

May 19 - $23.52 / $1.89 = 12.44 keys

May 19 - $23.52 / $1.89 = 12.44 keys

June 3 - $15.61 / $1.96 = 7.96 keys

June 7 - $23 / $1.98 = 11.62 keys

June 12 - $23.95 / $2.00 = 11.97 keys

June 20 - $24.99 / $1.98 = 12.62 keys

June 24 - $24.99 / $2.00 = 12.49 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8525549668

https://backpack.tf/item/7691402471

https://backpack.tf/item/4094493775

https://backpack.tf/item/2746077978

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181765754#!/compare/1573516800/1594339200

June 24 Marketplace sale

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https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=463&q=5&ef='72&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/ad39354f340de23b0db3ab665b109231

Bot.tf sales:

1 @ 11 keys 4/27/2020, 12:23:28 PM

1 @ 11 keys 5/4/2020, 8:12:48 AM

1 @ 11 keys 5/22/2020, 11:11:34 AM

1 @ 11 keys 6/4/2020, 2:00:43 AM

1 @ 11 keys 6/4/2020, 5:10:47 PM

1 @ 12 keys 6/16/2020, 11:46:40 AM

1 @ 12 keys 6/22/2020, 3:10:32 AM

Bot.tf buys:

1 @ 9 keys, 10.00 ref 5/5/2020, 11:52:58 PM

1 @ 9 keys, 10.00 ref 5/7/2020, 9:30:50 AM

1 @ 9 keys, 10.00 ref 5/12/2020, 4:16:10 AM

1 @ 8 keys, 35.00 ref 5/19/2020, 8:03:04 AM

1 @ 9 keys, 12.00 ref 6/3/2020, 3:15:01 AM

1 @ 9 keys, 12.00 ref 7/3/2020, 7:48:48 PM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351049333#!/compare/1577404800/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

Went to a bot.tf bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024694313#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

429 item stack which is a lot of refined?

Might be the May 22 bot.tf sale for 11 keys... I guess all in refineds though

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188527199#!/compare/1591747200/1593388800

Most likely the June 22 bot.tf sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083559832#!/compare/1589932800/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

June 3 bot.tf buy

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168092727#!/compare/1590537600/1591228800

One of the June 4 bot.tf sales

//

https://backpack.tf/item/7043823659

nothing

https://backpack.tf/item/5987987880

went through scrap.tf

https://backpack.tf/item/4173211788

bought from bot, then sold back to bot

https://backpack.tf/item/2566855856

bots and gambling

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354013696#!/compare/1587945600/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312762524#!/compare/1589760000/1592352000

unusualified

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024694313#!/compare/1590019200/1590278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380327321#!/compare/1589587200/1594425600

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202002473#!/compare/1591660800/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

Bulk

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022551095#!/compare/1589846400/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198437236566#!/compare/1592784000/1593475200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198437236566#!/compare/1592784000/1593475200

Australium Black Box - 12 keys https://gyazo.com/25f096c9247745c94064b7d90424dacf

12 key buyout, sold same time as an 11 key buyout as well https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9LKP07

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198223881088#!/compare/1593475200/1593561600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127938353#!/compare/1593302400/1593561600

Bulk

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Sales: (All refined sales are already rounded)

8

8.5

10

11

11

11

11

11

12

12

12

12

12

12

12

12

13

https://gyazo.com/2e6f4fcf1a8061debfdbbb1d2f88f09f

buyers are convincingly over 8 keys

and enough buyers and real sales to exclude bot.tf buys

https://gyazo.com/01bd21c1e134df03b8aa39b18f59b61b

young sellers at 10 and 11

lot of sales at 12

13 keys is really just 12.62 rounded up

going with 10-13 keys