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I was planning on loading an offline map and practising Sova Dart line ups but decided against it and continue the 500 odd unus i want to update. Maybe it's time for a #roadtoprestige ??
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/7537259842
Sale 1
Excluding trades from trading sites
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993631639#!/compare/1593129600/1593216000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260651783#!/compare/1592956800/1593129600
Untrace
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260651783#!/compare/1593129600/1593388800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993631639#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600
Tradeback?
Sale 4
Traded back to tf2trade bots, excluding
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/6862532294
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088459414#!/compare/1587945600/1592697600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198936376015#!/compare/1591401600/1592697600
Gambling
Sale 6
Excluding gambling with scammers, and then it got sold to qs.store, so excluding that too
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/6785301488
Sale 7
Bought off mp
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053417580#!/compare/1591401600/1594080000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
Untrace
Sale 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1592438400/1592611200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279167936#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
Untrace
Sale 10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279167936#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010987801#!/compare/1592352000/1592524800
Untrace
Sale 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010987801#!/compare/1592352000/1592524800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030214998#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800
Gambling
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30836;5;u58
June 6th - $13 / $1.99 = 6.53 keys
June 18th - $19.33 / $1.98 = 9.76 keys
June 21st - $21.99 / $1.99 = 11.05 keys
Sales
6.5, 10, 11
10 and 11 seem high
Especially considering scrap has one - https://prnt.sc/tlinfl for ~8 keys
Going with 6.5 keys flat as recommended by Xergoyf and wait for more sales to occur
Scrap.tf ended up selling a few days after this suggestion was made, likely for 8 keys (considering the screenshot)
https://backpack.tf/item/6785301488
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1595376000/1595462400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153874080#!/compare/1595116800/1596067200
The range is too unbalanced going 6.5 - 8, if scrap never sold id be inclined to exclude the higher sales but it took ~2 weeks which is probably not enough to call the rest high. There was a seller for 8 listed yesterday, but it seems it sold in a bulk qs
https://imgur.com/a/UdzBXU9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1599696000/1599868800
I would go 8 - 10 here with 1 outlier on each end, calling 6.5 low and 11 high.