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Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31042;5;u8
Sales 1:
Apr 25 - $29.22 / $1.79 = 16.32 keys
= 16 Keys, https://backpack.tf/item/8036578115 - No B/O
Sale 2:
May 21 - $29.99 / $1.88 = 15.95 keys
= 16 Keys, No B/O
Sale 3:
Jun 22 - $41.99 / $1.98 = 21.21 keys
= 21 Keys, No B/O
Sales: 16, 16, 21
Going with 16-21 keys.
Although it doesn't change anything in this suggestion, it appears that there are buyouts for sale 1 & 2.
Sale 1 could be 16 or 20 (both disappeared on the day of the sale, so unsure which one.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19XQNZ1 > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPKLE3E
Sale 2 appears to be 16, but since the sale was 16, does not change anything.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/429L2V8G > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0DOQ9P