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Neutron Star Hot Dogger
4 years later. https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5833238d8667471a641e5cd8
The first unusual I unboxed, I've been trying to buy it back but the current owner refuses to add me :(
Mptf sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/614;5;u107
May 31: 39.99/1.91 = 20.94 keys rounding to 21 keys.
No b/o or history found.
Jul 4: 39.99/2 = 20 keys.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0OL0OKV - B/o of 21 keys.
No history found.
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354979270#!/compare/1592179200/1592611200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353396915#!/compare/1592092800/1592524800
Sold for 19 keys.
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353396915#!/compare/1592697600/1592870400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381243318#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000
Sold with 7 keys for GE Sky High Fly Guy
SHFG indate at 21 keys.
21 - 7 = 14 keys.
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381243318#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162806285#!/compare/1592697600/1592870400
Sold for 17 keys 26 ref rounding to 17 keys.
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162806285#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100003112#!/compare/1592524800/1593043200
Untrace, only 5 keys and some refs match
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419855386#!/compare/1588636800/1589241600
Untrace
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059145111#!/compare/1593388800/1593561600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060967458#!/compare/1593302400/1593561600
Bulk for CTFL Cotton Head
Better used there
Sales are at:
14
17
19
20
21
Classies - https://imgur.com/a/BnfqjY7
https://imgur.com/a/sWypx4h - Poorly bumped seller at 18 for 2 days, poorly bumped seller at 22 for 27 days and 1 year unsold at 30.
Buyers up to 16.34 keys. Excluding 14.
Gonna call 17 low as it's close to buyers, and cutting 21 to cut 1 sale from both ends to even it out.
Taking the range as 19 - 20 keys!
Ps. Looking back at the suggestion I made 4 years ago, it was such a blast to the past and tbh it's quite surreal to see how far I've come in price suggesting. Although I did take a 3 year hiatus from TF2 back when I tried to trade and failed terribly at doing so, but coming back to this game last year was perhaps one of the best decisions I've made. Thanks to all who've helped me along the way thus far :)
updating with new sales that happened after 22 Jul, or were untracable previously
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060967458#!/compare/1594425600/1596067200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155509480#!/compare/1593820800/1596153600
incomplete sale, i checked the histories of the keys on the buyer's side, only 1 matches
assuming all the keys on the buyer's side went to this sale, this makes the sale 17 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/5190200555
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
private bp involved i guess
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNR8R51R - rubi's b/o was 19 so the group of 19 looks most likely
was then transferred to scrap
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1597536000/1597622400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355333388#!/compare/1597536000/1597622400
only 5 keys match
https://imgur.com/a/GeAiQ4i
https://backpack.tf/item/5264128290
very obvious outlier, sgd 138.08 which is about 43 keys
but idc because it's the one i unboxed and i finally own it again
Creds Xerg & Cashew for their input:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155509480#!/compare/1597622400/1598313600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080935708#!/compare/1598054400/1598140800
The one currently listed on MPTF sold for 17 keys to current seller. (This was the 18 key seller)
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9NRZP3
given that 18 STILL hadn't sold for 18 almost a month later, and resold for lower....
buyers up to 17 now but 2 sales + 1 month at 18 is probably fine to include 17.
also new mp sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/614;5;u107
$51.9 / $1.83 = 28.36 keys
high
esp since 17 is at buyers I would be fine including 21 as well as its close to the other sales.
given the above, 17 - 21 will be fine.
thanks, will resuggest