Thanks Shuffle.

SALES

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315881059#!/compare/1593043200/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

MARKETPLACE

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1120;5;u3014

Sold for 29 on April 11 (29/1.7 = 17.06 rounding to 17 keys)

Sold for 29 on April 13 (29/1.72 = 16.86 rounding to 17 keys)

Sold for 29.99 on May 3 (29.99/1.87 = 16.04 rounding to 16 keys)

Sold for 19 on June 29 (19/2.01 = 9.45 rounding to 9.5 keys)

24.49 (rounds to 12 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/5207738082

https://backpack.tf/item/2785825679

CLASSIFIEDS

https://gyazo.com/403e600fd49dd070c9ee014c61bf770c

2 sellers at 12 keys.

SUMMARY

1 @ 9.5 keys

1 @ 12 keys

1 @ 16 keys

2 @ 17 keys

CONCLUSION

Excluding 16 and 17 due to multiple sellers at lower.

Going to take a conservative drop, as there are 3 sales at higher, excluding 9.5

Taking 12 keys here.