Then.

SALES

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100928052#!/compare/1588982400/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

Sold for 3 taunts

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048492647#!/compare/1590364800/1591142400

Buyout was 10

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80KOLPD

Would definitely cap due to the buyers for each of the above taunts.

MARKETPLACE

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30618;5;u3019

15 on April 25 (15/1.77 = 8.47 rounds to 8.5 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-15

7.07 on April 27 (7.07/1.82 = 3.88 rounds to 3.9 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-27

13.75 on May 21 (13.75/1.88 = 7.31 rounds to 7.5 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-21

13.99 on May 22 (13.99/1.87 = 7.48 rounds to 7.5 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-22

No buyouts found for any.

CLASSIFIEDS

https://gyazo.com/fea3ce14bd03fbd8ecc72ceaa1b4a66e

Buyers range from 5 to 5.8~.

SUMMARY

1 @ 3.9 keys

2 @ 7.5 keys

1 @ 8.5 keys

1 @ 10 keys

CONCLUSION:

10 seems to be a high outlier due to many sales at lower, while 3.9 seems to be a low outlier due to buyers at higher.

Taking 7.5-8.5 here.