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Harvest Moon Ye Oiled Baker Boy
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073823378#!/compare/1590969600/1591315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185579770#!/compare/1590969600/1591315200
Untrace
Marketplace sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30019;5;u45
Sold on 6/5/2020 for $290 / $1.96 = 147.96 keys ~ 148
Pricing this at 148 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073823378#!/compare/1587859200/1588032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064982470#!/compare/1587859200/1588032000
this sale is clearly lower, if we value the RA pillar at bp price (145), that makes the sale
145 + 148 = bonk leadwear (193) + 13k + fountain of delight solly taunt (4)
298 = 210
considering the roboactive pillar has buyers at 110, valuing it at 145 isn't high, but it's clear that this wasn't worth 148 in that trade, so i'd be cautious to raise it with that in mind
It appears that the other sale is out of date as of now anyways. So all that’s really left is the marketplace sale. I don’t follow what is trying to be reasoned here but I remember that I agreed with the seller at 290 USD. With the average price of keys that day being at 1.96 USD on marketplace.tf, I see no problem pricing it at 148 (rounding up from 147.96). I also see that the other sale is bulk which means that it would not be counted anyways right? Besides I collect the hat. Not like it’ll go anywhere for a while anyways. Feel free to correct me. Thx :)
The point made is that the other sale here is much lower. Even valuing the pillar at buyers value (110), it is clear that that sale is going to be significantly below 100 While the sale is bulky in nature and therefore not the best to use in establishing a range, it is a clear indicator that 148 flat is probably too high.
With two sales this discrepant, it is best to wait for a third sale to determine the outlier.