Mini for SF Bicorne

Long train ay

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/2559620884

Sale 1

https://mannco.store/item/9937

Sold June 17th - $59.99 / $1.95 = 30.76 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011488010#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

Looked like gambling

Untrack

Sale 3

With a scammer

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7089186235]

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312837631#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600

Likely cash

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

Sold for 22 keys 7 ref

https://prnt.sc/t3yaro - backed up by bot.tf stats page

Sale 6

https://prnt.sc/t3yaro - bought for 22 keys 30 ref off Killua Bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

Untrace, qsold

Excluding all bot sales

Sales

31

Unsold at 25 for a while - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0OQ7D2. 3 weeks now, Debug was unsold at 26 during April.

Unsold at 28 for 9 months

https://prnt.sc/t3yfkh - webcache shows 25 was listed for a while

Thanks Xerg for his input:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30313;5;u8

$49 / $1.69 = 28.99 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185241815#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162118669#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0K8LKK - B/O was 27

C9 Cotton + 3

X = 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073335093#!/compare/1589673600/1589846400

Added 2 for a PE Airdog (21.5, indate)

21.5 - 2 = 19.5

X = 20

Overalll that gives sales at:

19.5

20.5

22

<22.5

22.5

27

29

31

https://imgur.com/a/SVuEfgj - current market, sellers only 1 key above a lone buyer @ 22.36

I would call 29/31 high due to lack of buyouts + most wanted's long unsold - Most wanted bulk sold his. Despite the buyer at 22, I think 22 is a common trading point with sales at 22/~22.5 (x2), and is supported by 2 even lower sales. I have a feeling the 22 buyer is going to have one sold to soon, which would remove the buy order and further support including 22. 27 is still probably high because of Debug, but because the other sales are buy orders/qs I am ok including a slightly high high-end

I would go 22 - 27 here

EDIT: As I am writing this, the buyer at 22 has gone away. https://imgur.com/a/CqPmPm6 22 - 23 might be better now, though I would wait for a mod comment before re-suggesting.

Thanks to Foamy too:

Given how many sold at or even below what buyers were for at that time I would probably prefer 22-23 here. The current sellers definitely support this.

Taking 22 – 23 keys!