Hmph.

SALES

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163522694#!/compare/1591833600/1592006400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079585772#!/compare/1591488000/1592006400

No buyout found.

Sold for beams billycock (36) + 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198968017762#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327569682#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

36 + 10 = 46

Buyout was close enough

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9KQ37V

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087448314#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087448314#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Looks like bulk for ge coldsnap cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376337653#!/compare/1589932800/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087448314#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

Bulk because the aussie knife was also added:

https://backpack.tf/item/5402093345

Sold for ge harmburg + 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051900362#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376337653#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

going to use for the harmburg, fewer sales usable there.

MARKETPLACE

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31016;5;u116

76 on May 27 (76/1.92 = 39.58 rounds to 40)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-27

55.63 on June 2 (55.63/1.94 = 28.68 rounds to 29)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-02

94.99 on June 10 (94.99/2.01 = 47.26 rounds to 47)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-10

68.1 on June 15 (68.1/1.99 = 34.22 rounds to 34)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-15

CLASSIFIEDS

https://gyazo.com/5bd51dd4a47e0e23bacbe8f95f946718

Unbumped seller at 55, buyers at around 37~.

SUMMARY

1 @ 29 keys

1 @ 34 keys

1 @ 40 keys

1 @ 46 keys

1 @ 47 keys

CONCLUSION

29 and 34 are low outliers due to buyers at higher.

Taking 40-47 here.