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huh
sales
sold for 14 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063054044#!/compare/1588550400/1589155200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091921229#!/compare/1588896000/1589068800
buyout also 14
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79L3D1W
marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30921;5;u3035
2 sold for 35.56 on june 13 (35.56/2 = 17.78 rounds to 18 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-13
https://backpack.tf/item/8382402926
no buyouts found, one sale here would be excluded (but still considered support i guess) as a purchase was made from a suspected scammer alt.
classifieds
https://gyazo.com/d2201e078f143391aaf5bcc2c3830658
seller at 20 for a month
buyers ranging from 9 to 14
summary
1 @ 14 keys
2 @ 18 keys
conclusion
14 is a low outlier due to buyer at 14
taking 18 here.
https://backpack.tf/item/6460283754
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091921229#!/compare/1597881600/1597968000
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30921;5;u3035
Sold for 12 keys to current MPTF seller.
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Taunt:%20Runner%27s%20Rhythm&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=3035&killstreak_tier=0
Buyers have since dropped off, so I'm wondering if 14 - 18 is now the call.
I think 14-18 is better too actually. Now that the buyers have dropped down, and sale at 12 shows that this should not be 18 flat.
A buyer at 13 was still there, 2 days before the sale at 12, so I think it's safe to exclude 12 here. Will resuggest!