Suggestion: Static Mist Taunt: Panzer Pants at 13–14 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~6.75 keys

static mist

39 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 29 Jul 20 05:56:29 +0000 by Fish is AWAY; SLOW/NO RESPONSES.

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Comments

chill

sales

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129934145#!/compare/1592870400/1593043200

untrace, sold to quickbuyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095817624#!/compare/1592524800/1593475200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

sold for 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928421771#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162647421#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

buyout also 16

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXWO236

stats agrees

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1196&q=5&ef=Static%20Mist&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271936634#!/compare/1590451200/1590883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199036693764#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116068061#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

likely sold to this buyorder of 9

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80KOXKW

marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1196;5;u3026

25 on may 8 (25/1.89 = 13.23 rounds to 13 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-08

26.95 on may 31 (26.95/1.91 = 14.11 rounds to 14 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-31

17.71 on june 22 (17.71/1.98 = 8.94 rounds to 9 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-22

25.99 on july 5 (25.99/1.99 = 13.06 rounds to 13 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-05

25.99 on july 20 (25.99/1.95 = 13.33 rounds to 13 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-20

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/22a0662c9f030f2281c0c324c04a82aa

no sellers, buyers range from 7 to 8~

summary

2 @ 9 keys

3 @ 13 keys

1 @ 14 keys

1 @ 16 keys

conclusion

tricky one here, i think 9 would be low, as one was to a buy order, and the one on mptf seems to be much lower than the other mptf sales that occurred. but at the same time, 16 can be seen as high due to all the sales at lower.

excluding 9 and 16, and going to take 13-14 here.

I don't really think 16 is too high; 9 is understandable due to it being close to buy orders and 4.5 keys away from your proposed median. The 16 sale isn't even a month and a half old, it happened in pure keys, is only 2.5 keys away from your proposed median, and is currently not countered by anything (no sellers for lower and it took barely half a month to sell). What do you think about this assessment?

well that's also what I initially thought as well, for the 16 not being high I mean. but about a month ago another seller came for 10~ for about a week,

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZP1XOK1

before that one (2 months ago ish) there was also a seller at 13 for about a week https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNR1LJ8J

so overall there are 6 sales at less, and 2 other past sellers for less.

additionally i chose the range of 13-14 because there were 2 sales at 9. and although it is low, excluding 2 sales at the same price (it would also be considered more common, there being 2 sales, even if 1 was to a buyorder) being lower, and including 1 sale at higher, i dont feel like that's fair.

That's some high quality bot.tf detective work. The idea with including 16 was that the degree to which it was high is not the same to which 9 was low. Bot.tf proves this statement false; thank you for investigating.