https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30549;5;u62

June 24 - $89.99 / $2.00 = 44.99 keys

June 25 - $93.33 / $1.99 = 46.90 keys

June 26 - $90.00 / $1.93 = 46.63 keys - 45 key buyout

$90 had a 45 key buyout https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNR69QD3

no relevant buyouts on the others

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https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30549&q=5&ef=Disco%20Beat%20Down&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/c3d00c073b12a33f65102214e3847b36

bot.tf

1 sale for 38 keys

1 buy for 37 keys

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212461467#!/compare/1593648000/1593820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1593648000/1593734400

35 keys

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097119648#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

68 item stack, which is 38 keys and 30 refined

//

https://backpack.tf/item/7957527395

gambled until it got quicksold to quicksell.store, then bot.tf, then zol

lol...

https://backpack.tf/item/7957135414

from quicksell.store to dotaexo (untraceable)

then back into quicksell.store

https://backpack.tf/item/7956808304

from tradeit.gg to marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5417769916

through dotaexo to gamblers, where it currently resides in a gambling bot

https://backpack.tf/item/6841620714

tradeit to dotaexo to bot to real user to bot again

https://backpack.tf/item/7955641833

quicksold to rubi 3 months ago, still unsold

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090520837#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

from user to quicksell.store, 70 keys matches in near ID

I don't think quicksell.store would buy this for 70 keys, so its likely more than 1 unusual got sold (which is likely the case seeing as the woodsman came from dotaexo and sold in the same day)

//

sellers

https://gyazo.com/5a5c0344639768c693e9bee457abd716

41.52 keys, zol has three of them though https://backpack.tf/item/6841620714 https://backpack.tf/item/7957527395 https://backpack.tf/item/8938405983

42 keys, 3 months with rubi https://backpack.tf/item/9032978480

buyers at 37 keys

also 2 days ago there was one at $72 (37.5 keys), but i don't know where it went

https://gyazo.com/8f6e730b37e0a414da7c1ae9f40127cc

sales

35

37 bot.tf

38 bot.tf

38 + 30 refined

45

45

47

this item sells on marketplace because we always see it as 50% off

i don't want to discredit those marketplace sales, so i am going with 39 (38+30r) to 47 for the time being

the unsolds are pretty crispy right now, but half of my findable data points are essentially marketplace

willing to resuggest to exclude those marketplace sales if needed