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needs a little raise
sales
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267930919#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046407557#!/compare/1593734400/1594339200
buyout was 46
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QPJ5EN
sold for 39 keys?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267930919#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600
no buyout, but since the seller was buying for 39 keys + 8 ref, so i dont think the sale was for 39.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KV96O3X
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158441533#!/compare/1591315200/1591747200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094129354#!/compare/1591488000/1591660800
no buyout
bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864631226#!/compare/1593129600/1593216000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1593129600/1593216000
sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098054379#!/compare/1584316800/1589414400
bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073242439#!/compare/1588550400/1589414400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1588377600/1588550400
sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073242439#!/compare/1588464000/1588550400
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170143095#!/compare/1593734400/1593820800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073323764#!/compare/1593561600/1593820800
item isn't seen in either comparisons, so heres the item history (ignoring the tradebacks btw)
https://backpack.tf/item/8734682752
sold for 42 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194944434#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268027488#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
sold with 7 keys + about 0.7 keys~ in sweets for dbd tyrants
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165205268#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268027488#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
tyrants is at 32, sellers at 29, this would be considered low
32 - 7 - 0.7 = 24.3 rounds to 24
marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30977;5;u9
60 on may 24 (60/1.88 = 31.91 rounds to 32 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-24
84.99 on may 27 (84.99/1.92 = 44.27 rounds to 44 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-27
46.32 on june 9 (46.32/1.99 = 23.28 rounds to 23 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-09
99.99 on june 13 (99.99/2 = 49.99 rounds to 50 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-13
https://backpack.tf/item/6758416633
seller during the time
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80995DD
67 on june 16 (67/1.98 = 33.84 rounds to 34 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-16
100 on june 23 (100/2 = 50 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-23
sellers during the time
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0JVNV3
99.99 on july 10 (99.99/2 = 49.99 rounds to 50 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-10
https://backpack.tf/item/8734682752
sellers during the time
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79K80Z9
past sellers
1 @ 45 for about a month
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVXV6JZ
1 popped up at 42, but was gone the next day
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J93D9JX
2 @ 43 and 1 @ 46
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79K80Z9
classifieds
https://gyazo.com/268b7dc5196d5075017cdb0d85f38e5b
buyers range from 39 to 39.3~
summary
pure sales
2 @ 40
1 @ 42
mptf sales
1 @ 23
1 @ 32
1 @ 34
1 @ 44
3 @ 50
other sales
1 @ 24
conclusion
interesting how the sales are here, buyers do show this needs a raise.
23, 24, 32, and 34 are obviously low due to buyers. although 50 seems common, all of which were mptf sales, and they seem quite high due to all the past sellers during the time of the sales that happened.
going to go with the middle and take 40-44 here.
2 weeks have passed since the suggestion was made, and as such, new sales have popped up.
sold for 45 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219964760#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
bulk for tw rack
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
sold for 41 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047678060#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000
sold for 41 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267589362#!/compare/1597017600/1597190400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298597#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
9 keys traced
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145695590#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267589362#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
buyout was 49?
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19Q6DW1
sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846884400#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145695590#!/compare/1596585600/1596758400
not entirely sure, but second comparison shows 40?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846884400#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
sold for 30 keys + 20 ref (30~)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047633875#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1596499200/1596585600
obviously low here
these new sales are 30, 40, 40, 41, 41, 45
that now makes 4 more sales that fall within the range, and 45 (is 1 key off from the high end).
i can still do 40-50 here if necessary, but the point i made 2 weeks ago still stands from past sellers.
HG Tyrolean (30.5) + Slumber L'Homme (19.5) + 3.4 keys in sweets ----- ~53 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298597#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165905454#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVKX7J5 ----- B/O was 60
Resold with 33+ keys for a PE Tossle, which is much lower than 53
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165905454#!/compare/1598140800/1598227200
The Eyewear was then quicksold for 42 keys. This should be fine.