Green Confetti Modest Pile of Hat

Oof. This took forever.

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/RpMsyxf

2 months @ 16 (see summary)

3 months @ 17.5

2 months @ 18

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/139;5;u6

selling for $38.44

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/139;5;u6

$29.95 / $1.88 = 15.93 keys

$38.44 / $1.93 = 19.92 keys

$18.75 / $1.93 = 9.72 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2567578458 either for sale 2 or 3

Bot.tf Sales

https://imgur.com/a/HsEoQZW

Buys:

1 @ ~12

1 @ ~13

Sales:

1 @ ~12

1 @ 14

https://backpack.tf/item/8899989614 for Hmm? 24/7 | B/QS<Unusuals’s sales, can’t trace sale, went to private inv and can’t see correct group of keys (1st hidden history)

https://backpack.tf/item/7940104672 - all other sales are untraceable

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278463603#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198452405592#!/compare/1589760000/1592870400

Sold for 13 keys

X = 13

https://backpack.tf/item/285423239

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080551754#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294189930#!/compare/1592006400/1592524800

Bulk for Scorching Eyewear.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294189930#!/compare/1593302400/1593993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400

Dumped to Killua on 7/5 for 12 keys 14 ref (the ~12 buy in bot.tf)

It then sold for 12 keys 17 ref, sold in <1 day, timestamps are misleading since it was never listed until the 7th. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9R3EVQ

2nd hidden history

https://backpack.tf/item/7425551006

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307517249#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093995306#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

Smoking Jeep (~8-9) + 3 keys + .5 sweets

Would end up below buyers no matter what (~12)

3rd hidden history

https://backpack.tf/item/5049363182

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1594425600/1594512000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19KDLR7

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZP73LDJ

Another likely sale for ~14, group of 14 was likely the sale.

4th hidden history

https://backpack.tf/item/2567578458

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872796421#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Green+Confetti+Modest+Pile+of+Hat - maybe sold for ~15?

Can’t trace this stn sale, excluding. Probably to a private inv since there shouldn’t be a key with the modest in the obtained together on buyers side

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872796421#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883160742#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

Bulk for GE Dragonborn

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883160742#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181258413#!/compare/1591056000/1591315200

Quicksold for 14 keys

X = 14

Buyer re-listed for 14 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/42936R87 - possibly one of the July mp sales had a b/o of 14

Sales at:

10

12 (x3)

13 (x2)

14 (x3)

16

19

Summary:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPXVN8D - WashYourHands has been selling for 16 for ~2 months, calling 16 and 19 high. 12 is below buyers, calling 12 and under low

Final Price: 13 - 14 keys