Scorching Flames Price Tavish’s Crown

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/w4iG0f7

Seller @ 80 for 18 days https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0OG7ZVZ

Bot.tf Sales

https://imgur.com/a/xGWYVCW

1x buy for ~76 keys

1x sale for 75

1x sale for 79

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313538268#!/compare/1589673600/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190466566#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

Bot.tf 75 sale, can’t fully trace what the PTC or Mancer sold for but it is almost guaranteed to be 75. Mancer was sold for pure.

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190466566#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198824740252#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Added 40 for a Logo Rack

Should be used there

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198824740252#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1590105600/1590451200

Bulk QS to a known quickbuyer (Thux)

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1591056000/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097038758#!/compare/1590969600/1591747200

Sold for 80 keys pure

X = 80

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097038758#!/compare/1591747200/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX3QL97 - B/O was 87

Sold for a Sunbeams Rotation (95, indate)

X = 87 (capped by B/O)

Buyer immediately re-listed for 80 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0OJ5X1E - can see the old seller’s listing still there. They then quicksold to Killua <1 day later (bot.tf buy)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

Sold for 79 keys (bot.tf sale @ 79)

X = 79

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1592006400/1592265600

Re-sold the next day for an Eldritch Flame DRH + 5D Airdog + 13 keys

Both hats need minis, and both start massive mini trains. Buyer re-sold for a decent bit less ~3 weeks later, and this sale would likely fit the range after minis. There's enough pure sales here that I think not including 1 unusual sale. Also no buyout.

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1593820800/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1593820800/1593907200

Sold to stn.tf for 63 keys 47 ref 3 weeks later

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1594339200/1594425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301623717#!/compare/1594339200/1594512000

Stn sold for 70 keys flat

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Scorching+Flames+Prince+Tavish%27s+Crown - prices are a bit different, however given my conversation with Sugar about stn pricing here, https://imgur.com/a/GUVU0w8 the exact numbers can’t be trusted. Given the clean group of 70, it likely sold for 70. (well possibly some ref added as well but 50% chance it would round down to 70, and if it was 71 you could do some bad rounding to put this sale to 70 lol.

Sales at:

64

70

75

76

79

80

87

Summary:

64 sold to stn, calling low. 87 listed for 80 immediately, so clearly the buyer didn’t value the rotation at 95 or even 87. While buyers were super high for a while (see Killua’s purchase @ 76), they have come down quite a bit, and stn’s took over a week to sell at 70 so clearly 70 is not too low. Going with 70 - 80, all sales included are pure sales.

Final Price: 70 - 80 keys