Mini for Burning Flames Blast

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/8797684404

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845450598#!/compare/1591920000/1592092800

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845450598#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158238131#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

Gambling

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158238131#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030214998#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

Gambling/untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030214998#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1592092800/1592611200

Untrace

Sale 5

Excluding sales to qs.store

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/8029603729

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100484031#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030214998#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

Untrace/gambling

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030214998#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031690733#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

Untrace/gambling

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031690733#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

Sold for 24 keys 10 ref

https://gyazo.com/ec066335a64708134a88241603822d9c - killua's buy order was 24 keys 28 ref, taking it as that

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/6824233733

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212782627#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

Sold to Sprekt for 24 keys 23 ref

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79NO9LN - buy order was 24 keys 34 ref

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1591574400/1591660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242646048#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Modest Pile of Scrap, Disco Beat Down Respectless Robo-Glove and Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: The Carlton

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLXQLO7 - buyout at 25 keys 5 ref

15.5 + 8.25 = 23.75

Buyers on the Carlton are 3.5 keys

Sale caps at buyout, taking 25 keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242646048#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591574400/1591660800

Got Zol'd, untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/5565439392

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

Sold for 23 keys 28 ref

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

23 keys 16 ref matches

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/5469004959

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045692488#!/compare/1592265600/1593648000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

Untrace

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198237486466#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

Sold for 24 keys 16 ref

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198237486466#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

Bulk for Burning Flames Blast Defense, using there

https://gyazo.com/4e601c8071be7172b1e43f07ba03689c - ss of sale just incase anything happens with the compare links

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/5375594518

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301456164#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

Zol sold it, untrace

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/5357000119

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121040682#!/compare/1591056000/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

Sold to bot, 9 keys 12 ref matches, probably missing stuff here

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

15 keys 33 ref matches, probably missing stuff

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052923233#!/compare/1584662400/1592438400

ID doesn't match but looks like sold for 25 keys 5 ref, I'll exclude it based on the fact that I can't fully trust it considering histories do not line up but this sale was extremely likely, will definitely support the range

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30836;5;u13

Taking last 2 months

01/06/2020 onwards

June 14th - $60 / $1.99 = 30.15 keys [No buyout]

July 6th - $52.49 / $1.99 = 26.38 keys [No buyout]

July 24th - $60 / $1.94 = 30.93 keys [No buyout]

July 29th - $38.05 / $1.92 = 19.82 keys [QS]

Sales

24, 25, 25, 23, 23, 24, 30, 26, 31, 20

Sales but ordered

20, 23, 23, 24, 24, 25, 25, 26, 30, 31

Current Listings

https://gyazo.com/bbc26cfe486ca59ac2ef1d7327b2d449

20 days at 24.6 keys

20 days at 28 keys

Buyers start from 21.7 keys

Taking 23 - 26 keys here