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not really fond of buyout drops but this one needs it
sales
no recent sales.
marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1093;5;u12
nothing recent.
classifieds
https://gyazo.com/6d42a12656a7727bdf2e945a7a211a90
seller for 20 keys @ 3 months
summary
seller @ 20 keys
b/o drop rule
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/
https://gyazo.com/77fadbf11b52a3099626fc1f27b33c46
for this sgt it's a 20% drop
conclusion
taking 20 here.