now here

sales

scrap exchanges

https://backpack.tf/item/6785360510

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993686702#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313052417#!/compare/1590192000/1591747200

other 2 exchanges are with tf2trade

https://backpack.tf/item/6794315944

bot.tf sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

3 other sales as well

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30984&q=5&ef=Orbiting%20Fire&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/88aa2db6d9c6ffaa9d0361f233e5bdb8

1 @ 7 keys

3 @ 6.5 keys~

bot.tf purchase from above

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062017881#!/compare/1590796800/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447257724#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405942199#!/compare/1578096000/1592352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154390546#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

sold for 22 keys + s.footies (0.5~)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154390546#!/compare/1592611200/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084266236#!/compare/1480636800/1592697600

definitely high sale, or something else was added with sky fly

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090560650#!/compare/1593388800/1593820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206177593#!/compare/1593129600/1593820800

bulk/untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084266236#!/compare/1592697600/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090560650#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

couple exchanges with tradeit/mannco and scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/6999201522

marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30984;5;u33

10.95 on june 23 (10.95/2 = 5.5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-23

22 on july 20 (22/1.95 = 11~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-20

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/204c5a10d983dc1ac3b857912a35db59

buyers ranging from 5.65~ to 6.7

summary

1 @ 5.5 keys

3 @ 6.5 keys

1 @ 7 keys

1 @ 11 keys

past sellers (that are accessible)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9L6OZP

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRWXK3R

conclusion

5.5 is low due to buyers.

11 is high due to all past sellers at less

6.5 seems low as well, but most common trading point here.

going 6.5-7 as 7 is not far off from 6.5.