Suggestion: Smissmas 2015 Festive Gift at 1.7–1.8 keys

Price Suggestion

~3.7 keys

60 votes up

13 votes down

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Item Snapshot made Mon, 03 Aug 20 12:19:35 +0000

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1.34 keys
Unique Smissmas 2015 Festive Gift
1.34 keys
Unique Smissmas 2015 Festive Gift

$4.06

17 sold recently

This suggestion was accepted Thu, 06 Aug 20 09:50:32 +0000 by Puddilicious.

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Stats: https://gyazo.com/775918bf50874459cf2c9427a320b737

Listings history page:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings?def=5838&q=6&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=01

Screenshots:

https://gyazo.com/5c2ef0f47cd92558984e66d91537f223

https://gyazo.com/1950f53227a8396ad220b9ff96bcc3da

https://gyazo.com/c8166d236c82848b41266a9dbae4013e

All screenshots provided by Smokey!

3x sales at 1 key, 41.66 ref above. 1.74 keys.

https://gyazo.com/aaf2b6ddf644aa729f1f7770db1353f6

Sold 2 for 2 keys 49.33 ref, ~ 1 key 24.66 ref per gift(case? idk), excluding because there's a buy order well above the price atm: https://gyazo.com/52cbf0cb0a989659bcc7fa3530a2687f

https://gyazo.com/9650271cc17a812507a6775c26d69f9e

Sold 5 for 5 keys 208.33 ref - 1 key 41.66 ref per case/gift. Taking 1.74 keys

Marketplace sales:

Taking the past month.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5838;6

1x sold on July 5th for $3.44, keys were $1.99.

3.44/1.99 = 1.72 keys

1x sold on July 8th for $3 and on July 20th for $3, keys were $1.99 and $1.95 respectively

3/1.99 = 1.50 keys

3/1.95 = 1.53 keys

Excluding due to buyers being higher at the time.

July 8th buyers: https://gyazo.com/00c50356884383fd4b4e7b9ceef134e3

July 20th buyers: https://gyazo.com/6d95b79ada6879370287e41e2dce0821

3x sold on July 23rd for $3.44 each. Keys were $1.92.

3.44/1.92 = 1.79 keys, rounding up to 1.8 keys

1x sold on July 31st and August 1st for $3 each. Keys were $1.92 and $1.91 respectively at the time.

3/1.92 = 1.56 keys

3/1.91 = 1.57 keys

Excluding once again as buyers were higher at the time.

July 31st buyers: https://gyazo.com/3108c8696132ede7d95fb9e0151b1392

August 1st buyers: https://gyazo.com/6bd51401b40dd87c310252dd3aed32c7

2x sold on August 2nd for $3.44, keys were $1.90

3.44/1.9 = 1.81 keys, rounding down to 1.8

Conclusion:

12 sales at 1 key, 41.66 ref, rest were under buyers. That is 1.72 keys, rounding down to 1.7 keys

3 sales at 1.79 keys on marketplace and 2 at 1.80 keys, rounding up to 1.8 keys.

Once again, thanks to Smokey for all the screenshots!

Thanks to Vader and 42 as well!

Rolling with 1.7 to 1.8 keys here.

Cheers! =)

Here is 7 more sales

https://gyazo.com/8d139a49a170c59c3dbb567ce5c05a08 - 1.74

https://gyazo.com/ff51910424364d2c524a9423512ed60f - sold 5 more for 1 key 41.66 ref each - 8 keys 40.33 ref

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5838;6

2x sold yesterday Aug 2nd for $3.44 each Keys were $1.90

3.44/1.9 = 1.8 keys

So thats a total of 17 sales at 1 key 41.66 (1.72-1.74)

and 5 sales on marketplace at 1.8

You don't have sales at 1.7 btw, 3.44 / 1.99 = 1.728 this sale would need to be rounded into 1.75. With buyer at 1.74 gone, taking 1.5 - 1.8 is fine i guess.