killer

sales

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005032783#!/compare/1593561600/1593907200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198266395734#!/compare/1593734400/1593993600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005032783#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

no buyouts available

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

buyout was 8

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198954470051#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058101080#!/compare/1589328000/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147286837#!/compare/1588636800/1592092800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1588982400/1589068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000957151#!/compare/1583539200/1592524800

marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30840;5;u3031

10.65 on may 7 (10.65/1.88 = 5.5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-07

15 on may 11 (15/1.9 = 8~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-11

10.6 on june 19 (10.6/1.98 = 5.5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-19

buyorders were at 5.5~

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/429E0GNG

20 on july 7 (20/1.88 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-07

20 on july 16 (20/1.98 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-16

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/3b93848f99e2d54660e0b19cc51d1198

buyers range from 5.5 to 6.1~

summary

1 @ 5.5 keys

1 @ 8 keys

2 @ 10 keys

conclusion

5.5 is low outlier due to buyers.

taking 8-10 here.