hm

sales

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284798960#!/compare/1590019200/1590796800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

buyout was 13.5~ was listed for like 3 hours and then gone

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9DEZJQ > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLGN3E2 > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV85GLJ

12.55 ref was traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198854384931#!/compare/1589587200/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1589500800/1589587200

buyorder

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRDL0G5

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334860631#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081976691#!/compare/1589846400/1568592000

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157004720#!/compare/1572393600/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1594684800/1594944000

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30977;5;u57

33.99 on may 17 (33.99/1.89 = 18~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-17

sellers were around 18 as well

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX80LXN

33.99 on may 23 (33.99/1.9 = 18~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-23

buyout appears to be 17~ (gone next day)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9Z9WP3 > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QK3P3W

35 on may 24 (35/1.88 = 19~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-24

40 on july 25 (40/1.93 = 21~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-25

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/f5bcd2d8f105806868accac9cd12621c

seller @ 18 for 5 months

buyers range from 13.3 to 13.75~

summary

1 @ 17

1 @ 18

1 @ 19

1 @ 21

conclusion

19 and 21 seem high due to past and current sellers at lower, specifically the one @ 18, for 5 months.

going with 17-18 here.