Sale 1:

Sold for 40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847672167#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334357092#!/compare/1592438400/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/item/2765167869

40 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for Scorching Flames Sky High Fly Guy (34.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044780296#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097427947#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/item/2765167869

No B/O at the time

35 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 32 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030058573#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

https://backpack.tf/item/7017751287

32 keys

Gambled after selling on marketplace.

Sale 4:

Sold for 31 keys?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044780296#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/item/7717305080

https://i.imgur.com/ACWkBye.png - labelled as 31 on bot.tf

28 keys match on the seller’s end, a further 2 keys that don’t appear on the seller’s end appear on the buyer’s end. I don’t doubt that it sold for the full 31 here.

31 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/139;5;u62

$69.95, May 5th

$69.95, May 27th

$69.99, May 30th

$69.50, June 7th

$60, June 14th

$74.99, July 7th

$74.99, July 11th

$50, July 11th

$77.99, July 25th

https://backpack.tf/item/7017751287 - The $74.99 July 11th sale and either the $50 July 11th sale or the $77.99, July 25th sale

https://backpack.tf/item/4589139770 - July 7th, Erik’s sale

https://i.imgur.com/bAGS8oG.png - Erik confirms

https://backpack.tf/item/2765167869 - Possibly the July 25th sale (refer to down below)

Couldn’t find any other histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-05&price=69.95 - $69.95 / $1.88 = 37.21 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19L12L0 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-27&price=69.95 - $69.95 / $1.92 = 36.43 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD158ZQV - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-05-30&price=69.99 - $69.99 / $1.94 = 36.08 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPQ1KND - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-07&price=69.5 - $69.5 / $1.98 = 35.10 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466ELWOZ - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-14&price=60 - $60 / $1.99 = 30.15 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KV88WP8 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-07&price=74.99 - $74.99 / $1.98 = 37.87 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ01LVZ3 - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-11&price=74.99 - $74.99 / $1.99 = 37.68 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EP5N6G2 - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-11&price=50 - $50 / $1.99 = 25.13 keys

Would’ve gone to a buy order

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-25&price=77.99 - $77.99 / $1.93 = 40.41 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX781P8 - May have been the 37 key seller (only one of the sellers with a marketplace link), but wouldn’t affect the range if I’m wrong anyways.

After rounding, we have:

25 keys

36 keys (2x)

38 keys (2x)

40 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956087246 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7017751287 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/4589139770 (#4-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/2765167869 (#8-15)

#1

Bulk for Beams Vive La France

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273936811#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139061326#!/compare/1590969600/1591228800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074043822#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030058573#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231711740 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395025691#!/compare/1586649600/1592092800

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395025691 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

Buyer sold on marketplace for $74.99 afterwards.

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1594080000/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074043822#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

Probably gambled

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074043822#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176593866#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100484031#!/compare/1588896000/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1589068800/1589241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1589587200/1589673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106206016#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

Missing info in the history

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106206016#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825748033#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

#12

Bulk for GBH party Phantom

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825748033#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869506063#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

#13

Transferred between accounts, broker or something.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869506063#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

#14

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334357092#!/compare/1593561600/1593993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1593648000/1593993600

https://i.imgur.com/ACWkBye.png - labelled as 29 keys + 10 ref

#15

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097427947#!/compare/1594598400/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1595635200/1595894400

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/od1wvoS.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2765167869 - ~32.3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956526814 - 45 keys

Buyers as high as 30 keys.

Sales at:

25

30

31

32

35 (2x)

36 (2x)

37

38 (2x)

40 (2x)

31 and below are outliers, according to xerg.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f275b613049957d3e1575aa

32-40.