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expect the unexpected
sales
sold for blizzardy engineers cap (16) + 5 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1596240000/1596412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136981355#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
16 + 5 = 21
buyout was 20
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0152Q9
2 lootfarm exchanges, and 1 scammer exchange
https://backpack.tf/item/2379360447
untrace, to quickbuyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272692680#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
sold for 16 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272692680#!/compare/1589500800/1589673600
untrace, to stn
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1595635200/1595894400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1595548800/1595635200
untrace, to quickbuyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890065525#!/compare/1593129600/1593734400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600
mptf
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/95;5;u19
39.99 on june 28 (39.99/2.05 = 20~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-28
past seller for about 21 days, then sold to stn
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WXLWEJ5
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVG6P8E
classifieds
https://gyazo.com/c7e305822f36ed4e2fc8adf5f91c25fe
summary
1 @ 16
2 @ 20
conclusion
the past seller at 17 supports 16 being included here.
going with 16-20.
You linked the wrong buyout for sale 1, that is the blizzardy one's. Luckily Politic also had a b/o of 20 for the hearts one as well https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y807L01Z
Also for the sale to stn, zol most likely sold for 17, and then whoever bought from him sold to stn. Either private inv or inventory not updating due to the api problems. Supports including 16, this is fine.