expect the unexpected

sales

sold for blizzardy engineers cap (16) + 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1596240000/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136981355#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

16 + 5 = 21

buyout was 20

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0152Q9

2 lootfarm exchanges, and 1 scammer exchange

https://backpack.tf/item/2379360447

untrace, to quickbuyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272692680#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

sold for 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272692680#!/compare/1589500800/1589673600

untrace, to stn

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1595635200/1595894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1595548800/1595635200

untrace, to quickbuyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890065525#!/compare/1593129600/1593734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/95;5;u19

39.99 on june 28 (39.99/2.05 = 20~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-28

past seller for about 21 days, then sold to stn

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WXLWEJ5

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVG6P8E

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/c7e305822f36ed4e2fc8adf5f91c25fe

summary

1 @ 16

2 @ 20

conclusion

the past seller at 17 supports 16 being included here.

going with 16-20.