juicy

sales

sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137755376#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799347042#!/compare/1592784000/1593043200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137755376#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

buyout was 9 keys + 19 ref

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX8K8Q5

bot.tf agrees with b/o

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30978&q=5&ef=Blizzardy%20Storm&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/af2b7ad9e9c285df1fbe5ab7ae6d2be8

3 keys traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153186550#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378129782#!/compare/1592265600/1594080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1592092800/1592265600

sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198821384850#!/compare/1594512000/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1594425600/1594512000

sold for 7 keys + 45 ref (8~)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122706821#!/compare/1593561600/1593734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198821384850#!/compare/1593648000/1593820800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834955309#!/compare/1593734400/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143595654#!/compare/1593993600/1594166400

sold for 8 keys + 10 ref? (8~)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400492976#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834955309#!/compare/1591228800/1591833600

histories/id's dont match, but buyout is close, probs undercut the other seller

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPRD2N1

sold for 8 keys + 24.11 ref (8.5~)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013127982#!/compare/1589500800/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400492976#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053911511#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013127982#!/compare/1589500800/1589760000

sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077675994#!/compare/1592006400/1592265600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859797607#!/compare/1592179200/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859797607#!/compare/1590969600/1591142400

buyout was 8.5~

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466EXZDR

0.77 reclaimed traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

buyout was 10

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV8WK7O

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080909224#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600

buyout was 8.5~

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV8WK7O

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199034643230#!/compare/1590019200/1590710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011507712#!/compare/1589414400/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199034643230#!/compare/1589155200/1589932800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090409013#!/compare/1593820800/1593993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203534404#!/compare/1593648000/1593820800

a few of these are exchanges between the quicksell store

https://backpack.tf/item/7238872908

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188639765#!/compare/1592524800/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993873071#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

untrace/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039270106#!/compare/1592524800/1592697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188639765#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

sold for 9 keys + 9 ref (9~)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442349647#!/compare/1592438400/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039270106#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400

sold for 8 keys (bot.tf agrees)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839749843#!/compare/1590624000/1591056000

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30978&q=5&ef=Blizzardy%20Storm&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/af2b7ad9e9c285df1fbe5ab7ae6d2be8

1 key traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839749843#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064340873#!/compare/1573171200/1591315200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064340873#!/compare/1591315200/1596672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100484031#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

few quicksell store exchanges, and 1 stn exchange

https://backpack.tf/item/7156713084

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1595462400/1595635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871163068#!/compare/1595376000/1595462400

bot.tf stats

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30978&q=5&ef=Blizzardy%20Storm&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/af2b7ad9e9c285df1fbe5ab7ae6d2be8

sold

3 @ 8~

1 @ 9~

1 @ 9.5~

purchases

2 @ 8.5~

1 @ 8~

marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30978;5;u30

19.74 on june 14 (19.74/1.99 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-14

sellers during the time https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O92O1NG

19.74 on june 18 (19.74/1.98 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-18

sellers during the time https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3W6P2X1

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/cb199a190f12a632df82b91d5abb160d

seller at 9 has been there for awhile https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLEQW23

buyers around the 7.5~ mark

past sellers

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1E1GXL

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80V855N

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19RPJW1

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J986LKV

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R063N65

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZP9K75

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXLG52D

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVGPN60

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRG7P2R

summary

sales (ones that have bot.tf stats confirming them are within the bot.tf section)

4 @ 8

1 @ 8.5

2 @ 9

bot.tf

4 @ 8

2 @ 8.5

1 @ 9

1 @ 9.5

mptf

2 @ 10

conclusion

sellers during the time of 10 show that 10 is high.

current (and past) sellers at less than 9.5 show that 9.5 is high.

9 can be considered high too, but a few pure sales at that value.

going with 8-9 here.