resuggesting from here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f0b2b0a80550e780c36f7ce#comment-5f2c97ff7ee53e6bfa2a4c5a

Looking at this Item: https://backpack.tf/item/1422634128

Sale #1

seller: https://backpack.tf/profi1es/76561198169984351#/compare/1591833600/1591920000

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profi1es/76561198056810044#!/compare/1591401600/1591920000

Sold for 9 keys.

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Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Sold for 9 keys.

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087230559#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

Sold for an Orb. Fire Bombing Run (7.5 Keys) + ~0.5 Keys of ref = 8 keys

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Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/259;5;u33

Apr 11, 40.00$/1.71$ = 23 keys

Jun 2, 20.10$/1.94$ = 10 keys

Jun 15, 21.99$/1.99$ = 11 keys

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Current bp listings: https://prnt.sc/tff59h

unsold for about 2 weeks at 10 keys

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Going with 8-10 keys.