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Sale 1: Item deposit to Marketplace.tf
https://backpack.tf/item/7348449838
Sale 2: Other item deposit to marketplace.tf
https://backpack.tf/item/5570120285
Sale 3: Sold for a Festive Spirit Taunt: I See You (also unpriced)
https://backpack.tf/item/2778840680
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261915734#!/compare/1591747200/1592006400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123530436#!/compare/1591833600/1592438400
Sale on Marketplace.tf at 6.53 keys (rounded to 6.5 keys): https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1116;5;u3036
July 6 2020: Sale at $12.99 (median key price: $1.99, 12.99/1.99=6.53 keys)
However, I couldn't find the item history of this sale
Taking 6.5 keys as the value for my suggestion
Sale 1 was a deposit to MPTF, but instant trade did not deposit it; Flappy did:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Magical%20Spirit&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1592690400/1592776800
we can see here that the instant trade bot bought and sold the same day, and the 7 keys matches histories with Flappy.
I'd say a resuggestion at 6.5 - 7 keys is in order.
Alright, thanks, I’ll close this and resuggest