EVENT MINI resuggest. Mini for: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f0c13e8f04795481e5dc9d3

Team 3.

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117471090#!/compare/1567555200/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

?

Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137909800#!/compare/1591920000/1592956800

?

Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137909800#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132783212#!/compare/1592956800/1593475200

40 pure.

Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977230738#!/compare/1591747200/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137064785#!/compare/1586044800/1592524800

?

Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323733331#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216793315#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600

?

Sale 6: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216793315#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

22 pure + ~9 keys in adds

22 + 9 = 31

Sale 7: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1594166400/1594252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044780296#!/compare/1594080000/1594252800

Sold with 21 keys for a Scorching Flames Sky High Fly Guy (35 keys) + a Disco Beat Down Officer's Ushanka (33 keys)

(35 + 33) - 21 = 47

Mini for the Ush: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f0c11b7c37fa93228008b20

Sale 8: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044780296#!/compare/1594425600/1594512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141345875#!/compare/1594339200/1594512000

Use there.

Sale 9: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269384244#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110720167#!/compare/1588636800/1588723200

?

Sale 10: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110720167#!/compare/1589241600/1589760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400

?

Sale 11: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093170043#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

Big bulk.

Sale 12: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093170043#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095799871#!/compare/1589414400/1589500800

?

Sale 13: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095799871#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092449612#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800

?

Sale 14: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092449612#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800

30 pure + ref

Sale 15: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301456164#!/compare/1590019200/1590192000

23 keys + ref

Sale 16: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301456164#!/compare/1590364800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

?

mp.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/921;5;u8

42.23/1.75 = ~24

40/1.81 = ~22

74/1.82 = ~41

79.99/1.87 = ~43

Classies: https://i.imgur.com/I41cPxu.png.

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Additional by Shuffle:

Sale 5 was 40 Keys. The Shotgun first sold for the Keys, and then the Keys were used for the Executioner.

Sale 6 included the Strange Special Eyes and the Bill's Hat, so it'll be 22 + 13 = 35 Keys for that sale.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178373491#!/compare/1594512000/1596672000 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994144284#!/compare/1593993600/1594684800 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198971171406#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200 - Sold for 32 Keys (now on Marketplace)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/921;5;u8 - Sold for $90 (45 Keys) and $70 (36 Keys)

Given buyers are still at 32 and the seller at 39 has been there for a month (was 40 from your pic), I'd go 35 - 41 Keys here.

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35-41 it is!