Scorching Flames Brotherhood of Arms

Thanks Scourge and Surs for the help!

Mptf sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u14

May 27: 355/1.92 = 184.9 keys rounding to 185 keys.

No history or b/o found.

Jun 9: 444/1.99 = 223.12 keys rounding to 223 keys.

No history or b/o found.

Jun 23: 595/2 = 297.5 keys rounding to 298 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/7150508065 - History

No b/o found.

Aug 5: 525/1.9 = 276.32 keys rounding to 276 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/5002455302 - History

No b/o found.

Bot.tf sales

https://imgur.com/a/bpSJuDB

1x bought at 302 keys 5 ref (~302 keys)

Can't be traced

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013961455#!/compare/1592352000/1592784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173456251#!/compare/1592438400/1592611200

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173456251#!/compare/1593993600/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

Bulk for Vintage Max's

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050446918#!/compare/1594252800/1594684800

Bonzo Whoopee + 65 keys (ID's don't match because the buyer removed the paint from the hat)

No b/o found.

Whoopee indate at 325.

325 + 65 = 390 keys.

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022652091#!/compare/1592611200/1592956800

SB Led + GE Impaler + CPS Gaze

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0REXG2 - B/o was 375

Led indate at 220 keys

Impaler indate at 77 keys

Mini not available on the CPS Gaze. Taking buyers at 21

220 + 77 + 21 = 318 keys.

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1594252800/1594512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1594252800/1594512000

The bot.tf sale above, but I don't want to count 302 keys lmao

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1591315200/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219926077#!/compare/1591401600/1591660800

Untrace

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219926077#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1592006400/1592179200

100 keys match, others were used to buy the fb gibus

//

Scourge:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1592006400/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126887938#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

this was the sale for the Bonzo Prehisotris

you can see alot of keys leaving, about 321

the keys don't show up because they were immediately sued to buy the BoA

now, it's unlikely that they actualy bought it for that many keys.

kilua says 179, and i highly doubt someone would overpay in pure for that

so, having check some of the key histories:

https://backpack.tf/item/5443843479

we see this goingh to Fear instead of Kilua

checking the compare:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198434925058#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

we see 40 keys comig in

check the buyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267930919#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

12 keys leaving, 2 used to buy cardboard

so 10 were part of that sale

that aren't from shego

so that's 30

so we know that 291 keys were used to buy the BoA

//

Sales are at:

185

223

276

298

318

390

Classies - https://imgur.com/a/P7zYWxO

~1 month at 400. Excluding 390 as a high outlier.

Buyers at 197.48 keys, excluding 185.

Gonna cut 223 as well, seems low given the other sales

//

Surs:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0E2ZO1

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19V68E0

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0OJ39WZ

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPXV0QE

Multiple past sellers at 300

//

https://imgur.com/a/59qkD8g - The seller for 276 on mp had it listed for 625 as late as Jul 31, but he sold it for 525 in ~5 days max.

Though 318 seems high and 276 sold pretty fast, gonna take 1 outlier on both ends, rounding to 280 and 320 for neatness.

Median would be 300 which supports the multiple past sellers at 300 and the 298 sale, sale 7 would fall within this range too

Taking the range as 280 - 320 keys!