sales

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031743044#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073335093#!/compare/1589673600/1589846400

bulk/untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291972525#!/compare/1588118400/1596931200

b/o was 3

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0O9LOZV

sold for 2 keys, to bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268399758#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

traced 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314211872#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268399758#!/compare/1590624000/1590883200

bot.tf says 3

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Good-Hearted%20Goodies&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/5916244a65fdc40417a361549a9fb99a

traced 8 ref, was to bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189812870#!/compare/1589414400/1589846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314211872#!/compare/1589760000/1589846400

bot.tf says 2 keys + 8 ref (2.15)

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Good-Hearted%20Goodies&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/5916244a65fdc40417a361549a9fb99a

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1116;5;u3031

5.95 on june 3 (5.95/1.96 = 3.05~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-03

possibly https://backpack.tf/item/2761122164

5.95 on june 5 (5.95/1.96 = 3.05~

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-05

5.95 on june 8 (5.95/1.98 = 3~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-08

5.95 on june 9 (5.95/1.99 = 3~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-09

7.99 on august 4 (7.99/1.86 = 4.3~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-04

3.3 on august 6 (3.3/1.85 = 1.8~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-06

classies

https://gyazo.com/f8629b79b13b306dae22e269cfbaa378

buyers around 2.3~

seller was there before with higher price https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9J32XJ

key sellers (49.77 im using)

https://gyazo.com/2ed9a2ffd501b549847578370a14fde3

summary

1.8, 2.15, 2.3, 3, 3, 3.05, 3.05, 4.3

conclusion

couple sales at 1.8-2.3~ but all less than buyers.

current seller at 3.04 shows 4.3 is high.

going with 3-3.05 here.

my rounding comes from the rules here

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/

https://gyazo.com/faadddfac876c8926f2349e39977ee69