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Sale 1: Marketplace.tf sale, item goes to Marketplace.tf bot then gets withdrawn the the buyer's inventory
https://backpack.tf/item/7249660210 (Last seen in MP bot's inventory in July so it isn't any of the sales down below)
Sale 2: The item is moved between 2 Marketplace.tf bots
https://backpack.tf/item/6462429966
Sale 3: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063054044#!/compare/1594684800/1596067200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220158797#!/compare/1594598400/1595462400
Two valid sale on Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3018
June 10 2020: $45.00 (median key price: $2.01, 22.39 keys) ~22 keys
June 15 2020: $31.00 (median key price: $1.99, 15.58 keys) ~16 keys
Both sales are untraceable via item histories
With what we have, going with 16-22 keys
The untrace sale appears to be 11 keys, as 11 keys ID match.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063054044#!/compare/1594684800/1596067200
New mp sale:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3018
$33.33 / 1.81 = 18.41
Considering there is another seller at $40 (as well as the other seller at 33.33 when you created this suggestion + judging by the history it took awhile to sale @ 33.33 https://backpack.tf/item/6462429966) I would call 22 high here and go 16 - 18
Thanks, I'll check those sales and resuggest with a better range