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Using Marketplace.tf
Past 3 months
Rounding to .5
https://imgur.com/43cZg6K
Aug 14 $16.95/1.8 = 9.41 keys 9.5 keys
Aug 12 $19/1.84= 10.32 keys 10 keys
Aug 7 $17/1.85 = 9.18 keys 9 keys
Aug 4 $17/1.86 = 9.13 keys 9 keys
Jul 23 $19/1.92 = 9.89 keys 10 keys
Jul 22 $15.95/1.94 = 8.22 keys 8 keys
Jul 14 $ 19.99/1.93 = 10.35 keys 10 keys
Jul 8 $19.3/1.99 = 9.69 keys 9.5 keys
Jul 5 $19.3/1.99 = 9.69 keys 9.5 keys
Jul 3 $ 19.99/2 = 9.99 keys 10 keys
Jun 28 $19.5/2.05 = 9.51 keys 9.5 keys
Jun 21 $19.5/1.99 =9.79 keys 10 keys
Jun 17 $19/1.98 = 9.59 keys 9.5 keys
Jun 16 $14.26/1.98 = 7.20 keys 7 keys outlier
Jun 14 $19.99/1.99 = 10.04 keys 10 keys
Jun 11 $17.99/2.03= 8.86 keys 9 keys
Jun 6 &14.5/1.99 = 7.28 keys outlier 7 keys
May 30 $17.4/1.99 = 8.74 keys 8.5 keys
May 29 $17.4/1.99 = 8.74 keys 8.5 keys
May 27 $17.23/1.92 = 8.97 keys 9 keys
May 24 $16.52/1.88= 8.78 keys 9 keys
May 22 $15.68/1.87 = 8.38 keys 8.5 keys
May 20 $15.68/1.88 =8.34 keys 8.5 keys
Out of 23 Sales
2 x 7 (outlier)
1 x 8 (outlier)
4 x 8.5
5 x 9
5 x 9.5
6 x 10
Keeping 8.5-10-5 range
https://scrap.tf/auctions/H3YLIG 8.5
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f387168eaac56213c6eb7f2 previous suggestion
bot.tf stats:
https://imgur.com/a/M4XMFVB
Sales:
5x @ 8
2x @ 9
Buys:
2x @ 6
2x @ 7
Payback was incorrect about the 10.5s, since the average is going to below 10, you should round to the nearest .5.
Also 2 new mp sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31100;5;u145
19.99/1.79 =11.16
16.95/1.79 = 9.47
in total, we have sales at:
6 (x2)
7 (x4)
8 (x6)
8.5 (x5)
9 (x7)
9.5 (x6)
10 (x4)
10.5 (x2)
11
Pretty even distribution of sales, in order to narrow the range I would call 6/7 low and 10+ for a even distribution of outliers, 6 low and 7 high.
I would go 8 - 9.5 here.