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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/8348122536
a) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869506063#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400 i dont know haha
b) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847672167#!/compare/1591228800/1591488000 bulk sale
using Marketplace.tf
Aug 7 $33.99/1.85= 18.37 keys 18 keys
Jun 23 $29.99/2 = 14.99 keys 15 keys
Jun 12 $12 Outlier
Lemon's bot has been selling @ 16 for over 2 months https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9X9OEW - from June
I would go 15 flat here.