Sale 1:

Sold for Scorching Killer Exclusive (Mini at ~360 below)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1592697600/1592870400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370591649#!/compare/1592179200/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/item/343434325

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGL8RWN2 - B/O of 330

330 keys (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for 307 keys?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151835897#!/compare/1593561600/1593907200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014404374#!/compare/1593820800/1593907200

https://backpack.tf/item/255266627

The first 2 keys went to the seller quite a while before the rest of them, I’m assuming it was a reservation fee. Going to round to 305 here in that case.

305 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u19

$650, June 9th

$590, July 7th

https://backpack.tf/item/269699887 - Glenn > Kegaman, June 9th. Duped.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0387N0 - B/O of 350

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-09&price=650 - $650 / $1.99 = 326.63 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/270545218 - July 7th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-07&price=590 - $590 / $1.98 = 297.98 keys

No B/O.

After rounding, we have:

[b]Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/343434325 (#3 & #4)

#1

Bulky

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198819747735#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

#2

Appears to have been a tradeback of some sorts, still bulky

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198819747735#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000

#3

Bulk for Cloud 9 Antlers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162647421#!/compare/1591488000/1591660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Was also used to price the antlers.

#4

Bulk for Disco Antlers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370591649#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1592870400/1592956800

Scorching Killer Exclusive Mini:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/538;5;u14

$660, June 13th

https://backpack.tf/item/8068410509

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-13&price=660 - $660 / $2.00 = 330.00 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQW8QLV - No B/O

Sale 1:

Sold for Arcana Helmet Without a Home (200) + Scorching Flames Charmer’s Chapeau (185)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146046621#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400

https://backpack.tf/item/8987383131

385 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 355 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1594425600/1594512000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059439540#!/compare/1579219200/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/item/2307662044

355 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 340 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312480435#!/compare/1595203200/1595376000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121359800#!/compare/1594598400/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/item/7022384592

340 keys

Taking 330-385.

Will turn this into a full suggestion once I get confirmation from Xerg on another sale related to this hat. Just posting these sales as it shows it should still cap regardless of the outcome of Xerg’s sale.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/foaEMLc.png

https://backpack.tf/item/343434325 - 330 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/201717350 - 330 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9071209048 - 330 keys (Duped)

Sales at:

300

305

325 (Duped)

330

Even if the dupe sale was excluded, it wouldn’t affect the range. For this reason, I’ll be treating dupes as the same value as clean ones here (This is important for my Beams Crone’s suggestion).

Taking 300-330.