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Counter to this https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f06bc1c6956f21d2152f961
Copy pasting proof as is because it is not mine:
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198267930919
https://backpack.tf/item/5643848107 - Very suspicious sale, I suspect Big Slappy was scammed by a fake marketplace bot
https://backpack.tf/item/6241308798 - -X- Pija owns Whattie
https://backpack.tf/item/7424688989 - Outdated but due to the low in date sales, ill use my data
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Marketplace sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3028
10 June: ~5 Keys
Taking 5 keys
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Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198156255538
New sale:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3028
$14.99 / $1.93 = 7.77 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6241308798
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1W71LV - B/O was 6
https://backpack.tf/item/5643848107
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19VRE80 - Buy order was 3 keys 14.33 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164468208#!/compare/1592265600/1594252800
Likely sold to the bot for 3 keys 14.33 ref.
Bot is now re-selling at 4.23 keys https://imgur.com/a/ScVxhqR , been there for ~4 days now
Keep an eye on the seller, but it will likely need to be included in the range, making this 4 - 6. Since the mean of 4.23 - 6 is above 5, you should round to the nearest .5. If it was below, you can round to the nearest .05.
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Range suggestion by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198067575136
seller at 4.23 is still up at 4.25
I wouldn't include the sale at 6 here though, it's quite a bit higher uncapped. 4.25 - 5 would be better
//
Going with with 4.25-5 keys.