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Resuggestion from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f081f61088ea20c602ab4c4
Copy pasting proof as is because none of it is mine
//
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198232041512
Team #4 Suggestion #37
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1109;5;u3006
$5 / $1.89 = 2.65 keys
$7.91 / $1.90 = 4.16 keys
$4.55 / $1.96 = 2.32 keys
$7.93 / $2.00 = 3.96 keys
https://imgur.com/m7NL5ID - 5 sales at 2.5 keys
Sale #1 -
3.2 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800
Sale #2 -
3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1593648000/1593734400
Sale #3 -
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095456954#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000
Sale #4 -
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071853797#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200
Sales at 2.3, 2.5(x5), 2.65, 3, 3.2, 3.95, 4.15
Excluding 2.3, 3,95, and 4.15, sellers below 3.6 keys are young, taking 2.5 - 3.2
//
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198156255538
New sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1109;5;u3006
$7 / $1.99 = 3.52 keys
$7.72 / $1.92 = 4.02 keys
3 new bot.tf buys @ ~2.5 and 3 new sales:
https://imgur.com/a/5yPqJy6
1 @ 3.35
1 @ 3.40
1 @ 3.45
sellers over time
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNR8OKV3 - start of june
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0XZ0R6 - mid june
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXOK007 - start of july
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QWKD5N - mid july
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1X9EPR - now (market has cleared up)
Sellers at 3.5 and under consistently, 4 is def high.
I would stretch the high-end to 3.5 here, calling the mp.tf sales at @4 high
//
Going with 2.5-3.5 keys