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Resuggestion from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f048d522881ed002b286a8b
Copy pasting proof as is because none of it is mine:
//
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198804015732
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30004&q=5&ef=Miami%20Nights&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
killua bought for 33k, sold for 35k
buy: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055672922#!/compare/1587686400/1588291200
sell: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30004;5;u61
https://backpack.tf/item/3336295842
$90 on 5/5 (48)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044925142#!/compare/1588118400/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084727676#!/compare/1586563200/1588118400
terror watt sensei + 10k, using there
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19X6LJQ
im taking 35-48 here cuz there was a 40k seller at the time of the 48k sale
//
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198086247757
One new unusable sale
Bulk/untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056681334#!/compare/1594166400/1594339200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198235159048#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
//
Proof by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198156255538
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089207865?time=1588550400 - confirms the seller mentioned at 40 was not the mp.tf seller
While the TW Sensei is best outdated, I would be fine using the 30 key sale there as a mini, since this sale only happened a couple of weeks after the 30 sale, making 30 was a good indicator of the price of the TW Sensei at the time of the sale.
That makes 30 + 10 = 40
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142721484#!/compare/1591833600/1592006400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303886984#!/compare/1591920000/1592006400
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9XD66P - B/O was 48
Looks like 40 pure here
https://imgur.com/a/R5nDd3B - current market, buyers up to 37.
https://imgur.com/a/UKw7SXX - Killua sold it ~30 min after buying according to bot.tf timestamps in addition to being under buyers
40 - 48 seems fine here
//
Going with 40-48