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sales
looks like tradebacks
https://backpack.tf/item/281436949
untrace, was this exchanged to the bot owner?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986498652#!/compare/1591142400/1591315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1591056000/1591228800
looks like bulk for keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1594425600/1594598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1594339200/1594425600
sold for 24 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596499200/1596585600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042298511#!/compare/1594684800/1596499200
b/o same, sold in 2 days.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9O3P29
untrace, to quickbuyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021217905#!/compare/1596326400/1597017600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596240000/1596326400
buyorder was 22~
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPD0QGQ
not sure, nothing matches here because comparisons are far apart
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133973878#!/compare/1592784000/1597190400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105299937#!/compare/1594425600/1595721600
sold with sweets about 5.2~ keys for burning tin topi (28)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037993261#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
29 - 5.2 = 23~
mini for topi in comments here
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f3b0449b8aa8e53ab0a545f
taking 28
mptf
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/340;5;u8
nothing recent.
classies
https://gyazo.com/7e28cff5eed50a29dcca8989894b8c1c
past sellers
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZJ13J2 29 then lowered to 27 a week later
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9KZGKW continued at 27 for about a month >
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV2Z7G8
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRX1ZQ5 seller at 25 then went to 26 >
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O90Q20J for 2 weeks~ >
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80P8Q6W then lowered to 24 > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX57VON for about a week > https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLDNND7
another past seller at 26
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19VGPKO
spartan lowered theirs for sometime at 26 as well
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KV76O7E > 1 week
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5Z8OZ55 > now back to 29~
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80885VW
summary
sales at 22 (highly likely), 23 and 24.
conclusion
22/23/24 may be low, but judging by past sellers, seems like this needs somewhat a drop.
since 24 sold in 2 days, going to exclude 22 and 23 and just go with 24 flat here. the two sales below support the drop here.