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Re-suggest! Thanks Xergoyf!
1 year outdated, b.o are within its own price range..
Histories:
https://backpack.tf/item/8307527268 -> 1 sale between marketplace bot and new owner.
Evidence from marketplace shows this was sold for 39.99 / 1.98 = 20.19k - this happened on June 17th... (comparisons match dates)
https://backpack.tf/item/7891295603 -> 1 sale between marketplace bot and new owner.
Evidence shows this was sold for 42.99 / 1.92 = 22.39k - this happened on July 31st (comparisons match dates)
Further sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394345037#!/compare/1589846400/1589932800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419855386#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800
Sold for 21k
https://backpack.tf/item/5776439808 -> plenty of sales here:
Sale #1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053911511#!/compare/1589846400/1590105600
Untrace...
Sale #2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053911511#!/compare/1590624000/1590796800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200
Untrace...
Sale #3: Was a transfer between Sprekt to marketplace bot, where it was then brought by darkin - but marketplace doesnt show sale at around 23rd July
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248575244#!/compare/1590537600/1596672000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198223881088#!/compare/1590883200/1597449600
Untrace anyway... Then currently re-listed on marketplace at 99.99
Checked the rest of the histories - no in-date sales for any of them...
Marketplace sales:
June 17th @ 39.99 / 1.98 = 20.19k (~20k) - wont use as b.o are higher
July 31st @ 42.99 / 1.92 = 22.39k (~22k)
August 7th @ 66.67 / 1.85 = 36.03k (~36k)
August 15th @ 79.99 / 1.81 = 44.19k (~44k)
Mixture of sales with no sellers on bp, total sales:
20k
22k
21k (oldest sale)
36k
44k
Excluding the 3 sales nearest/at b.o (20k,21k and 22k)
There will likely be a re-suggest for this as the most recent sales have been very high so will need a better opinion possibly...
NEW evidence/advice:
Both the 36 and 44 sales had a buyout of 30:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZP0JVO1
https://backpack.tf/item/5776439808 - Lebtech/Darkin was the seller for the Aug 7 sale
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0ZXLO2
https://backpack.tf/item/6311570825 - Bewitched was the other seller, listing gone on the 15th, same day as mp sale.
Sale 2 looks like 18 keys + minor ref, which is under buyers.
Sale 3 appears to be 20 keys, as seen here (ID's match) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ039JK3 - b/o of 20 confirms
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4660D6DL - zol most likely sold for 19.5, can't trace tho.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y801Z8ZX - was selling at 19.5 for at least a month before selling. Buyers were much lower then
So we have sales at:
18
20 (x3, 1 untrace)
22
30 (x2, both capped by much higher amounts)
To be honest, both 30s seem like high outliers given how many lower sales and how much they were capped at the buyout. While buyers have risen to 20, there are 3 sales at 20, making it a common trading point that should be included. I would go 20 - 22 here calling 18 low and the 30s high.
Taking a new price suggestion of 20-22!