sales

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035780190#!/compare/1590278400/1590451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1590105600/1590624000

judging by dates, probs the mptf one below

sold for 8 keys + 11 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1590192000/1590278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829459668#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

8~

buyorder of 6.5~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829459668#!/compare/1590624000/1590796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314211872#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

seller first purchased for 8 above, then resold for 6.5.

bot.tf stats

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30816&q=5&ef=Acidic%20Bubbles%20of%20Envy&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/bcd2c2edab8ba18806ba6d08a37a68ef

i covered the sale above.

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30816;5;u3017

18.68 on may 28 (18.68/1.91 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-28

listings during the time

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466KPGN0

classies

https://gyazo.com/7ace5f980032c26acae513df2eb6ba5a

summary

sales at 6.5, 8, and 10.

conclusion

8 then resold for 6.5. probably better to exclude both. however they do support the drop here.

going with 10 here.