sales

sold for 20 keys + 3.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

20~

2 ref traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269337198#!/compare/1597363200/1597449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269337198#!/compare/1597363200/1597449600

buyorder was 20~

2 scammer exchanges

https://backpack.tf/item/1429010283

untrace/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1597363200/1597449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995822698#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136097697#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/937;5;u30

49 on august 10 (49/1.85 = 26~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-10

https://backpack.tf/item/1429010283

b/o was 25

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9E6V1V

classies

https://gyazo.com/bdd397e933135c8758d87e31408b42d3

2x sellers at 22~

summary

sales at 20, 20(likely) and 25.

conclusion

both 20 are to buyorders. however, the buyorders have seem to decreased, and there are 2 sellers at 22~ which suggest a drop here.

since the low end is due to buyorders, going to be conservative and go with 20-25 here.