sales

exchanges with mptf/mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/8775053529

https://backpack.tf/item/3248240659

https://backpack.tf/item/2976649723

does not look like a sale on mannco tho https://mannco.store/item/6890

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137189605#!/compare/1563494400/1591315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105223387#!/compare/1591228800/1591833600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198348744131#!/compare/1590364800/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411989188#!/compare/1555372800/1590624000

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1595548800/1595980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199034277209#!/compare/1596758400/1597363200

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198959775799#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074080874#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035237398#!/compare/1591833600/1597536000

traced 19 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078798586#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074080874#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400

sold for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031690733#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

this one is covered below in bot.tf stats

0.44 ref was traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423737058#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075491803#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384492634#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423737058#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082497772#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384492634#!/compare/1592092800/1592179200

bot.tf stats

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1107&q=5&ef=Midnight%20Whirlwind&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/82707be660c31415252853743ed97e54

1 @ 3.95~

1 @ 4.65~

1 @ 5

mptf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1107;5;u3008

6.56 on may 29 (6.56/1.94 = 3.4~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-29

6.71 on june 2 (6.71/1.94 = 3.45~)

10 on june 2 (10/1.94 = 5.15~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-02

6.71 on june 8 (6.71/1.98 = 3.4~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-08

10 on june 14 (10/1.99 = 5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-14

10 on july 27 (10/1.92 = 5.05~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-27

6.5 on july 30 (6.5/1.92 = 3.4~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-30

9.9 on august 5 (9.9/1.9 = 5.2~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-05

5.75 on august 15 (5.76/1.81 = 3.2~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-15

classies

https://gyazo.com/606bdcdb147f788aee6789b7e10355f5

summary

bot.tf sales at 3.95, 4.65, and 5.

mptf sales at 3.2, 3.4, 3.4, 3.4, 3.45, 5, 5, 5 and 5.

conclusion

excluding all sales under 4 due to buyers. since the median would be under 5, going to convert the sales rounded to 5, to the nearest 0.05 instead of the nearest 0.5.

going with 4.65-5.2 here.