Traded for a CAPPER (price range isn't in line with sellers/buyers so I made a mini for it)

CAPPER mini at 3.45-3.55 keys (median price: 3.5 keys): https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f425facf796293fbc58374b

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199021126065#!/compare/1591660800/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051626710#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Untrace on buyers side but suspecited 2 key 30 ref trade (2.63 keys) ~2.6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051626710#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Buyer had a listing at 2 keys 30 ref https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

Bot.tf stats confirm it: https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1117&q=5&ef=Jarate%20Shock&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

Item was then deposited to Marketplace.tf

https://backpack.tf/item/2857451051

Sale on Marketplace.tf between July 8 and July 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082177314#!/compare/1594166400/1596153600

Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1117;5;u3029

(untraceable) May 24 2020: $4.05 (key=$1.88, 2.15 keys) ~2.15 keys

(untraceable) May 30 2020: $5.94 (key=$1.94, 3.06 keys) ~3.05 keys

( https://backpack.tf/item/2857451051 ) July 22 2020: $8 (key=$1.94, 4.12 keys) ~4.1 keys

We have 2.15, 2.6, 3.05, 3.5 and 4.1

Buyers at 2.65 keys exclude 2.15, and 2.6

Seller at 3.46 keys excludes 4.1

Going with 3.05-3.5 keys

UPDATE: I had to redo the CAPPER mini because buyers lowered their price, It's now 3.4-3.55 keys instead of 3.45-3.55 keys (median value: 3.47 keys).

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f42bca22f799d7fdb0a412d