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Here we go, first ever attempt at making a suggestion
Sales
Sold the Aces High Reggaelator + ~4.5 keys in pure for my Orbiting Planets Tough Stuff Muffs (I don't think you could call this valid proof, considering the Tough Stuff Muffs' price is very outdated so please lmk if I'm doing anything wrong)
https://gyazo.com/4702465a39923ea8a671e423c8878aac
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1597881600/1598400000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106112825#!/compare/1598140800/1598400000
An Orbiting Planets Tough Stuff Muffs was sold for 15 on classifieds. Can't seem to trace the history.
https://backpack.tf/item/1450014073
Marketplace.tf sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/390;5;u59
$29.99 on June 11 and August 20
June 11: 29.99/2.03 = 14.77, round it to 15 keys
August 20: 29.99/1.79 = 16.75 keys, round it to 17
Summary
Sales at 15, 17, 19.5
Excluding 19.5, as there's not enough sales to price the Tough Stuff Muffs, taking 15-17 here.
some more sales here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249078668#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027882174#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
Sold for Blizzardy Capotain + 1 key
likely to end up low given unsolds.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQZ8G62
B/O of 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027882174#!/compare/1597795200/1597881600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206177593#!/compare/1597795200/1597881600
Sold with ~2 keys in sweets for Searing Bot Dogger(13) (Dogger sold for 11 keys)
Total is 11 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466QGJ60
B/O of 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206177593#!/compare/1597795200/1597881600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1597795200/1597881600
Sold with 1 key for Stormy Halogen
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRN8J1Q
B/O of 12 keys
looking deeper into the Tough Stuff, that sale should be used there:
https://pastebin.com/jPKuP8a8
the sale should be used on the Tough Stuff.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRNXRNQ
Tought stuff sale had a B/O of 12 keys
Aug 20th MPTF sale might be this?
https://backpack.tf/item/7955840752
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
but no solid connection.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGL17V0Q
B/O of 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/1775641416
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19E061X
untrace here for maybe 10 keys?
given these recent listings, a mini on the Halogen would be needed, and i doubt this hat deserves a raise, let alone such a high one.
uhhh i think you may have the wrong screenshot
Oh dang, one sec lemme grab it rq
https://gyazo.com/43781fb808444af553124c7a649567af
Here it is, my bad