Eh.

Sales

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000646505#!/compare/1594512000/1596844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101737319#!/compare/1534550400/1597190400

Buyout was 15 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0OPK6W2

Sale 2: Sold for 13 keys + 24.66 refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448830963#!/compare/1598227200/1598313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063826027#!/compare/1598140800/1598313600

14 keys~

Buyout was same

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVN3LG0

Sale 3: 2 scraps were traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087245143#!/compare/1598227200/1598400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448830963#!/compare/1598140800/1598227200

Marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/477;5;u3032

May

$19.99 on May 29 (19.99/1.94 = 10~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-05-29

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WXJVVLZ

July

$30 on July 9 (30/1.99 = 15~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-09

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466PLDX2

August

$30 on August 2 (30/1.9 = 16~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-02

Classifieds

https://gyazo.com/81652ce35190402b93582d8ef170c592

Buyers up to 6 keys.

Summary

Sales are at 14.

Marketplace sales are at 10, 15, and 16.

Conclusion

Think 10 is a bit lower than the other sales, and it is close to being outdated.

Going with 14-16 here.