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Re-opening the suggestion due to getting more proof.
2 Sales on mp.tf this month
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30877;5;u121
Key prices
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
August 16th for 170$
Marketplace Key price = 1.79$
= 94.97 Keys = 95 Keys
August 23rd for 126.95$
Marketplace Key price = 1.81$
= 70.14 Keys = 70 Keys
Trades:
August 16th for 48.5 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203307876#!/compare/1597363200/1597536000
https://imgur.com/a/JdKChTI
(Thanking the seller for providing a screenshot)
Rounding up 49 keys for neatness
Classified Listings:
https://prnt.sc/u73zci
Sellers at 125 Keys
Buyers at ~31 Keys
As Payback pointed out, the 49 key sale was to buyers at the time. It should be excluded.
However, it doesn't seem to be the case that the 95 key buyer reosld for 70:
https://backpack.tf/item/7286913975
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053728531#!/compare/1597449600/1597795200
entered his bp for Aug 16th sale, but still has it after the Aug 23rd sale.
Given this information, this should be resuggested at 70 - 95 keys.
Thank you.
really against including 49 keys, because it was at buy orders at the time of the sale: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ02ZKK1
99% sure the buyer for $170 resold for $126.95, which would also lead me to exclude both of those sales
unsure what the best thing to do here is
i was thinking about using the 49 Keys as an outlier but I decided to include them due to the lack of other trades/proof for this price suggestion.