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Hm.
Sales
Sale 1: Sold for 32 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961976244#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000426108#!/compare/1592438400/1592870400
Sale 2: Traced 22 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117489880#!/compare/1594684800/1596758400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1594512000/1594857600
Buyout was 41 though..?
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0290O6
Sale 3: Sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117489880#!/compare/1591228800/1591401600
40 resold for 22 above.
Sale 4: Traced 1 key + 5.11 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042299159#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800
Was to a buyorder of 29 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80VK66X
Marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30672;5;u3036
$120 on June 13 (120/2 = 60 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-13
Buyout was 63 keys.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19R5231
Classifieds
https://gyazo.com/c81735a54c6c48c4af08c64823c15a4a
Buyers up to 32 keys.
Summary
Sales at 22(probs more), 29 (buyorder), 32, and 40.
Marketplace sales at 60.
Conclusion
22 and 29 are under buyers. 60 seems a bit high compared to other sales.
Excluding 40 as it resold for less.
Going with 32 here.
I probably would have included 40 here, but I think your rationale is fair enough to accept as is