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Hm.
Sales
Sale 1: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412841776#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1597276800/1597449600
Sale 2: Sold for 7 keys + 4 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198980897882#!/compare/1597276800/1598313600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412841776#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800
7 keys~
Sale 3: Sold with 21.78 refined (0.459 keys~) of items~ for Smoking Shooter's Sola Topi (7.75 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093697268#!/compare/1596931200/1597104000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093697268#!/compare/1596931200/1597104000
7.75 - 0.459 = 7.5 keys~
Topi: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f49cf28f0fb564f6230d589
Sale 4: Sold for 8 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093697268#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
Marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30093;5;u18
August
$17 on August 14 (17/1.8 = 9.5 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-14
Classifieds
https://gyazo.com/7749fb38c564b25cff71f9d50a691f7e
Summary
Sales at 7, 7.5, and 8.
Marketplace sale at 9.5.
Conclusion
Going with 7-9.5 here.
One of your compares for Sale 3 is wrong, https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198980897882#!/compare/1596931200/1597104000 is the correct buyers compare. The sale is missing ~2.75 keys in adds with the Sola, making the sale:
7.75 + 2.75 -.459 = ~10
The buyer then re-sold for 7 keys in sale 2 the next day. Given what I see in the sellers compare, its possible this sale is incomplete, but if its not, because 10 qsed for 7 the next day, I would exclude 10 as high and 7 as low and go 8 - 9.5 here.
My mistake, thank you. Will resuggest.