Feels good.

Sales

Sale 1: Sold for 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1598659200/1598745600

https://backpack.tf/item/406104254

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPQW830

Marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/314;5;u10

June

$42 on June 8 (42/1.98 = 21~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-08

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O93PXXG

52.58 on June 20 (52.58/1.98 = 27~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-20

Buyout was 25 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD187WPR

July

$50 on July 19 (50/1.97 = 25~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-19

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3W68XZE

Classifieds

https://gyazo.com/2cc11ae7fb133243ee94ef8c01078b79

Buyers up to 24 keys~.

Summary

Sales at 30.

Marketplace sales at 21, 25, and 25.

Conclusion

21 is under buyers, excluding.

Going with 25-30 here.