Suggestion: Green Confetti Mighty Mitre at 7–7.5 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~9.75 keys

g.fetti

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 08 Sep 20 09:32:59 +0000 by the submitter.

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Marketplace.tf sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31034;5;u6

Sale #1: $15.40 / $1.98 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-22) = 7.78 ~ 8 keys

b/o was 7 keys: https://gyazo.com/7c434e1fe412aa6f5de63c046ff0f387 / https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPDD7ND

Sale #2: $15.56 / $2.00 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-24) = 7.78 ~ 8 keys

b/o was 7 keys: https://gyazo.com/187f4a138ab4c8a0ce7b181fcf895c34 / https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466937ZL

Sale #3: $15.90 / $1.98 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-16) = 8.03 ~ 8 keys

b/o was 7 keys: https://gyazo.com/3e6e5b3be3f3d3445d0596cb6ca7cae0 / https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZP7R7RD

Sale #4: $17.00 / $1.93 (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-25) = 8.81 ~ 9 keys

b/o was ~7.5 keys: https://gyazo.com/fbdcb96fb3d2459fd26deb4df6973d67 / https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y807JDXD

All unknown item history.

Mannco.store sale

https://mannco.store/item/9354

Sale #5: $13.09 / $1.76 (2020-07-07) = 7.44 ~ 7.5 keys

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/8674571229

b/o was 7.5 keys: https://gyazo.com/3a1d0555754598b026d8c797df56cfed / https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZP5RG0D

Item tracing:

on Sale #5/Item 1

Sale #6

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198414515070#!/compare/1594425600/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129190957#!/compare/1593043200/1597104000

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/7908326049

Sale #7

traced only 3 keys + 36.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802465612#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800 (ID: 8916848384)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800

Sale #8

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275743952#!/compare/1589328000/1593820800

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7503330478

Sale #9

traced 5 keys - confirmed with individual keys tracing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199037205923#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400 (ID: 8880366817)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358482558#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

Skipping deposit to marketplace.tf

--------------------------------------

Current listings: https://gyazo.com/5024134c0f10fa21cc00aed67119ff78

Selling on marketplace.tf for $17.99 / ~$1.83 = 9.83 keys (Item 3)

Buying at highest 6.04 keys

--------------------------------------

Valid sales: 7, 7, 7, 7.5, 7.5, 5

Excluding 5 keys since it's lower than current buy order

Taking 7 - 7.5 keys

How do you know that the marketplace sales had these B/Os if the item histories are untraceable? It's almost impossible to identify the sellers that way. The Mannco sale B/O you posted doesn't match either.

Regarding the Mannco sale, there was a huge fluctuation of key prices on July 7th ($1.76 instead of the usual ~$1.9). The key value taken there should be $1.94, the reasoning is explained here:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/?do=findComment&comment=641323

So the Mannco sale will round down to 6.5. 6.5-9 should be okay here I guess.

Thanks for the reply... I actually got confused about the buyout. I thought it's based on anyone that list the item to sell rather on backpack.tf. Thanks for the clarification.

For the key price fluctuation, good info, thank you very much!